Latest Rasmussen Poll: Donald Trump Widens Lead over Joe Biden 


Republican former president and presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump has widened his lead over Democrat President Joe Biden during the past month in their expected 2024 election matchup, according to a new Rasmussen Reports poll. 

The new survey, released Friday, found that in a three-way contest between Trump, Biden, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 46% of likely American voters would choose Trump, 36% would choose Biden, and 9% would back RFK Jr.

When considering a five-way match that includes former Harvard professor Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 48% say they would vote for Trump, 36% for Joe Biden, 8% for RFK Jr., and 1% each for Stein and West.

Rasmussen noted that Trump led Biden by 6 points in April, 44% to 38%, with RFK Jr. at 10%.

The recent poll was conducted amid Trump’s ongoing fraud trial in New York City. 

Additional findings showed: 

• 59% of Trump voters say they are excited; 50% of voters for Biden say the same. 

• 71% of voters say they are excited about the 2024 presidential election, including 47% who say they are very excited.

• In a three-way matchup, Trump receives 80% of Republican voters, with Biden receiving 70% of Democrats. 

• 60% of Republicans say they are very excited about the upcoming election, while 45% of Democrats and 36% of voters who are unaffiliated with either party say the same.

• In a five-way matchup, Trump earns 52% of white voters, 21% of Black voters, 45% of Hispanics, and 62% of other minorities.

• Among unaffiliated voters, 44% back Trump, 26% back Joe Biden, and 15% would choose RFK Jr.

• In either a two-way or five-way matchup, RFK Jr. performs best among Hispanics and other minorities. 

• In a five-way matchup, President Biden gets 34% of whites, 30% of Hispanics, 61% of Black voters, and 14% of other minorities.

• Voters who self-identify as conservative are more likely than either moderates or liberals to say they’re very excited about the 2024 election.

• Moderate voters are more likely than liberals or conservatives to say they would vote for RFK Jr.

• Most voters age 40 and older would vote for Trump, while Trump and Biden are in a virtual tie among voters under 40, who are more likely to say they’d vote for RFK Jr.

The margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points.

44% view Speaker of the House Mike Johnson favorably

Clinging to a one-vote GOP majority in the House of Representatives, Speaker Mike Johnson’s popularity with votes has increased in recent weeks. 

The latest online survey and national telephone Rasmussen Report poll finds that 44% of likely U.S. voters have a favorable impression of Johnson, including 16% with a very favorable opinion of the Republican from Louisiana. 

Thirty-two percent of respondents view Johnson unfavorably, including 14% with a Very Unfavorable impression. Another 24% aren’t sure. In late February, 39% had a favorable impression of Johnson.